Archive for December, 2011

Horse Racing Handicapping System Factors and Angles

There are several kind of horse racing systems. Some systems rely on weighting the factors in a race according to the make up of the race of the kind of race. For instance, in a maiden race where raw speed is the factor that matters the most, a higher point value might be given to the horse with the fastest average speed. In a short sprint of five furlongs, post position and early pace might be given the most weight.

Another kind of horse racing system relies more on angles such as lone early speed or dropping in class. It might also include trainer angles, patterns that the trainer has established and has shown a good ROI for in the past. Then there are the hybrids. Hybrids are true handicapping because they not only look at factors, but also the trainer’s moves and intentions.

When handicapping a horse race in depth it is important to look at the puzzle and see all the pieces if possible. A wise handicapper who has been playing the horses for years will look a race over with an open mind and only decide which angle or system to use after he has seen how the race shapes up. Just blindly playing one system or method and trying to apply it to every race is usually a losing battle.

I often say that every thing works some of the time, but nothing works all the time. That is particularly true of handicapping methods because races are so complex and have so many parts and participants. Each trainer is a puzzle within himself and then there are the riders and horses to contend with. Horses are herd animals and though they may enjoy running together, it doesn’t mean that one will automatically try to beat another in a race. That’s why they have riders with whips.

If you want to bet on horse races and make a profit, you must learn several systems and angles and then learn how to look at the races and know how to play each one as well as the most important angle of all–knowing which races to skip. The margin for profit is so low in this game that sitting out one bad race can make or break you for the day and a dozen races can mean the difference between profit or loss for an entire meet. That’s why you need to know the angles and systems and how to apply them.

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